Quantum Computing 2026 · Chapter 01
Chapter 01 · Cold Open

We are at the front edge
of early fault-tolerant.

Shor is not breaking RSA tomorrow. Below-threshold error correction has been demonstrated on real silicon for the first time — and useful fault-tolerant machines are still five to ten years out. The truth is more interesting than the hype.

What this topic covers

Three eras Five hardware bets The utility debate What it can't do